Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.145737 0.172768 0.203086 0.239565 0.282221 0.330475 0.389159
2025-07-13 0.109882 0.145679 0.190179 0.249363 0.325804 0.420977 0.548221
2025-07-20 0.092425 0.133335 0.188271 0.266995 0.376411 0.522527 0.731782
2025-07-27 0.078878 0.122082 0.183928 0.278168 0.417240 0.613827 0.911417
2025-08-03 0.065998 0.108732 0.173465 0.277584 0.439505 0.679992 1.061935
2025-08-10 0.054067 0.094359 0.158652 0.267300 0.444518 0.719766 1.176233
2025-08-17 0.044127 0.081284 0.143523 0.253645 0.441364 0.745177 1.269389
2025-08-24 0.038721 0.074903 0.138221 0.254979 0.462023 0.809636 1.430914
2025-08-31 0.032894 0.066732 0.128518 0.247086 0.465474 0.845249 1.547210
2025-09-07 0.029547 0.062617 0.125397 0.250335 0.488528 0.916130 1.730831
2025-09-14 0.026384 0.058323 0.121269 0.250991 0.506592 0.979570 1.907072
2025-09-21 0.023198 0.053446 0.115286 0.247141 0.515402 1.026593 2.057325
2025-09-28 0.020223 0.048710 0.109278 0.243198 0.525099 1.079250 2.229954
2025-10-05 0.018805 0.047213 0.109859 0.253124 0.564340 1.193903 2.537022
2025-10-12 0.018136 0.047326 0.113912 0.271006 0.622309 1.351920 2.947519
2025-10-19 0.017028 0.046180 0.114961 0.282337 0.667541 1.488624 3.328612
2025-10-26 0.015270 0.043091 0.111047 0.281745 0.686290 1.571728 3.605735
2025-11-02 0.013178 0.038740 0.103438 0.271315 0.681254 1.602972 3.774232
2025-11-09 0.011205 0.034321 0.094954 0.257464 0.666300 1.610426 3.890555
2025-11-16 0.010212 0.032453 0.092676 0.258818 0.687987 1.702783 4.208087
2025-11-23 0.008935 0.029509 0.087097 0.250812 0.685466 1.738669 4.398473
2025-11-30 0.008256 0.028232 0.085844 0.254107 0.711951 1.845866 4.768078
2025-12-07 0.007550 0.026733 0.083739 0.254772 0.731661 1.938627 5.112069